Was 47-45 yesterday, today it was 48-43. Unprecedented this far out, not since Gerald Ford has an incumbent been behind at this point.
Libtards are you IRATE? Romney crushes Obama in the Gallup tracker again.
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It only seems surprising because we're surrounded by people who don't see the world the way the average voter sees it. To us, a bad economy is a statistic that we can cleverly adapt to our political biases. To a lot of voters, it's their life, and life hasn't been great during the past few years. They think they could do with some hope and change again.
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Gingrich's my guy, now that Santorum has dropped out, but any given GOP candidate will crush Obama, given that in 2008, he outspent McCain 3 to 1 and only beat him by 6% in the popular vote. The GOP nominee will probably beat Obama in campaign fund-raising this year, because of the defection of former Obama supporters who thought the guy was a moderate. Romney alone is out-raising Obama on Wall Street, and for a while, Mittens was sharing the stage with other GOP candidates who were also getting Wall Street money. An electoral vote landslide (>10% margin of victory in electoral votes) is a given - the only question is the magnitude. And that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.
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No, it makes me happy to see you reptards getting false hope. That will make the ass-whooping you get all the sweeter. I want to taste your tears come election night.
The only thing that would make it better is if you put your money where your mouth is. Romney's surely a bargain at 40% over at Intrade, given such an "unprecedented" lead. Lay down your savings, and get rich quick, reptile.
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IMHO, anyway you cut it, Obama losing is good...very good. He’s intent on willfully taking the country down and four more years will do potentially irreprable harm.
We can and will survive Romney...can probably even hold his feet to his campaign pledges. Besides, Newt may still pull off a miracle and force a brokered convention.
The Man who Despises America
http://www.jeffhead.com/obama-time.htmAmerica at the Crossroads of History
http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm -
Why does Obama simultaneously have a 9-point lead in a CNN poll from Monday?
How can such widely divergent polling results occur, where the confidence intervals don't even remotely overlap?
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Was 47-45 yesterday, today it was 48-43. Unprecedented this far out, not since Gerald Ford has an incumbent been behind at this point.
OP idiot. See Gallup website:
"History shows that the candidates' positioning in the spring of an election year is not necessarily good at forecasting the election outcomes. For example, in an April 20-22, 1992, Gallup poll, incumbent President George H.W. Bush was ahead with 41% of the vote, compared with 26% for Bill Clinton and 25% for Ross Perot. And in an April 11-14, 1980, poll, incumbent President Jimmy Carter led Ronald Reagan by 42% to 34%, with John Anderson receiving 18% support. Both Bush and Carter, of course, ultimately lost their re-election bids."
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In all of those incorrect cases, the incumbent president was ahead. It is very unusual for the incumbent to be behind at this stage. If the poll is correct (and that is a big if, see the CNN poll), this is very bad news for the President (and our country).
Was 47-45 yesterday, today it was 48-43. Unprecedented this far out, not since Gerald Ford has an incumbent been behind at this point.
OP idiot. See Gallup website:
"History shows that the candidates' positioning in the spring of an election year is not necessarily good at forecasting the election outcomes. For example, in an April 20-22, 1992, Gallup poll, incumbent President George H.W. Bush was ahead with 41% of the vote, compared with 26% for Bill Clinton and 25% for Ross Perot. And in an April 11-14, 1980, poll, incumbent President Jimmy Carter led Ronald Reagan by 42% to 34%, with John Anderson receiving 18% support. Both Bush and Carter, of course, ultimately lost their re-election bids." -
04/18/2012 05:47 AM EST
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326
Event: 2012 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)
Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012: 60.6%
Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012: 37.6%
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Hahahahah, you have no idea how HUGE 6% is.
Gingrich's my guy, now that Santorum has dropped out, but any given GOP candidate will crush Obama, given that in 2008, he outspent McCain 3 to 1 and only beat him by 6% in the popular vote. The GOP nominee will probably beat Obama in campaign fund-raising this year, because of the defection of former Obama supporters who thought the guy was a moderate. Romney alone is out-raising Obama on Wall Street, and for a while, Mittens was sharing the stage with other GOP candidates who were also getting Wall Street money. An electoral vote landslide (>10% margin of victory in electoral votes) is a given - the only question is the magnitude. And that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.
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Bookmakers are rarely substantially wrong about this sort of thing and the odds vastly favor Obama. I would go with them personallyGingrich's my guy, now that Santorum has dropped out, but any given GOP candidate will crush Obama, given that in 2008, he outspent McCain 3 to 1 and only beat him by 6% in the popular vote. The GOP nominee will probably beat Obama in campaign fund-raising this year, because of the defection of former Obama supporters who thought the guy was a moderate. Romney alone is out-raising Obama on Wall Street, and for a while, Mittens was sharing the stage with other GOP candidates who were also getting Wall Street money. An electoral vote landslide (>10% margin of victory in electoral votes) is a given - the only question is the magnitude. And that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winning-party
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Is it really the bookmakers that are betting against the public here, or are the odds established by supply and demand from the public? I could see even a large share of the public holding biased beliefs in this case, since the election is so politicized. Normally, in the economic environment we're in, there is no question that the incumbent has the slimmest of chances.
<Bookmakers are rarely substantially wrong about this sort of thing and the odds vastly favor Obama. I would go with them personally
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winning-party