Imagine Amy Finkelstein, Janet Currie, and Paul Gertler getting for Health Econ.
Amy will probably win in the next 20 years. Janet has a small outside shot for children and mental health. Gertler lol….
2021 Economics Nobel Prize
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Krussell+Smith+Bewley
F00l: If it wasn’t for Aiyagari you never would have heard of Bewley. You have NEVER seen Bewley’s typewriter notes from a talk he gave in Minnesota. They are really just a skeleton of a model.
I hear you but you can’t posthumously give aiyagari a Nobel and someone needs to win eventually for that class of model
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Susan Athey
Wesley Cohen and Daniel LevinthalAthey for what? Technical contributions for the theory of monotone comparative statics (lol)? Lifetime achievement award for impressive volume of low-impact top 5 publications?
It would be difficult to carve out a broad career as a micro theorist without occasionally citing eg Holmstrom, Milgrom, Maskin, Myerson, Aumann, etc in your papers. Can you say the same about Athey?
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Peter Phillips and Pierre Perron for nonstationary time series
It might be them this year, would be well deserved.
yeah - here is a prize for getting time series stuck for the last 30 years
If time series got stuck is surely not because of Phillips and Perron. You should look at Stock, Watson, Elliott, Muller, and the rest of the associates.