Michael C. Jensen + Gene Fama
2021 Economics Nobel Prize
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What matter is what smart people think. And these smart people think her work is top 5 high prob.
Susan Athey
Wesley Cohen and Daniel LevinthalAthey for what? Technical contributions for the theory of monotone comparative statics (lol)? Lifetime achievement award for impressive volume of low-impact top 5 publications?
It would be difficult to carve out a broad career as a micro theorist without occasionally citing eg Holmstrom, Milgrom, Maskin, Myerson, Aumann, etc in your papers. Can you say the same about Athey? -
somebody from this list
or
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No idea if econometrics will ever return to have a Nobel, but if I had to think:
Arellano - Blundell - Bond (for dynamic panel data contributions)
Bresnahan - Berry - Pakes (for empirical IO contributions that are now being increasingly used in other disciplines)
Perron - Phillips (for time series contributions)
Angrist - Card - Imbens (for pioneering work in the credibility revolution)
Rust - Wolpin (for the estimation of dynamic structural models of discrete choice)
I don't know where to categorize Wooldridge here.
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Is it possible for Woolridge to win all by himself. Heck, is it even possible for the Nobel to go to one person only?
No idea if econometrics will ever return to have a Nobel, but if I had to think:
Arellano - Blundell - Bond (for dynamic panel data contributions)
Bresnahan - Berry - Pakes (for empirical IO contributions that are now being increasingly used in other disciplines)
Perron - Phillips (for time series contributions)
Angrist - Card - Imbens (for pioneering work in the credibility revolution)
Rust - Wolpin (for the estimation of dynamic structural models of discrete choice)
I don't know where to categorize Wooldridge here. -
Is it possible for Woolridge to win all by himself. Heck, is it even possible for the Nobel to go to one person only?
No idea if econometrics will ever return to have a Nobel, but if I had to think:
Arellano - Blundell - Bond (for dynamic panel data contributions)
Bresnahan - Berry - Pakes (for empirical IO contributions that are now being increasingly used in other disciplines)
Perron - Phillips (for time series contributions)
Angrist - Card - Imbens (for pioneering work in the credibility revolution)
Rust - Wolpin (for the estimation of dynamic structural models of discrete choice)
I don't know where to categorize Wooldridge here.
Literally 3 people have won it alone in the last decade; Thaler (2017), Deaton (2015), and Tirole (2014).