Post <blockquote>Necessary, sure, but not sufficient. You know the story about Ball and Brown? Or Watts and Zimmerman? Both of those papers almost never got published. I’d say if any of those guys had never published anything else you would still consider their careers wildly successful. Now pick up the most recent issue of TAR. Do any of those papers have staying power? Look at any paper by someone like ES from MIT. Smart guy, no doubt. Publishes like a machine. But has he pushed the literature? Barely. Compare him to Basu. I’d take Basu’s record over his any day. <blockquote>So what do you think? Is making it through the publication a process a decent signal about ability to move the literature forward? Yeah, decent. Directionally correct, but noisy. I would also say that ability to publish is a necessary condition for someone being able to advance our knowledge. </blockquote></blockquote>

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