Bhatt is out, https://www.mathunion.org/fileadmin/IMU/ICM2022/Program/Virtual_ICM_2022_Program_Schedule.pdf
why he is out？I can’t understand
Fields Medals predictions for 2022?
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Bhatt is out, https://www.mathunion.org/fileadmin/IMU/ICM2022/Program/Virtual_ICM_2022_Program_Schedule.pdf
How do you get your conclusion with icm schedule?
Because his plenary still shows in the schedule. But it doesn't mean anything. As in previous IMUs, the invited/plenary talks of prize winners are cancelled and replaced with their prize talks.
Also, the listed four Fields medal talks doesn't mean that there will definitely be four medals awarded. The preliminary schedule is made without knowing anything about the winners. That said, it's virtually certain that there will indeed be four Fields winners. The medal committee is instructed to "strongly prefer" giving four and picking only three or less would be a strong signal that other candidates are not seen as worthy. I doubt that fewer than four medals will be given ever again.
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Bhatt is out, https://www.mathunion.org/fileadmin/IMU/ICM2022/Program/Virtual_ICM_2022_Program_Schedule.pdf
How do you get your conclusion with icm schedule?
Because his plenary still shows in the schedule. But it doesn't mean anything. As in previous IMUs, the invited/plenary talks of prize winners are cancelled and replaced with their prize talks.
Also, the listed four Fields medal talks doesn't mean that there will definitely be four medals awarded. The preliminary schedule is made without knowing anything about the winners. That said, it's virtually certain that there will indeed be four Fields winners. The medal committee is instructed to "strongly prefer" giving four and picking only three or less would be a strong signal that other candidates are not seen as worthy. I doubt that fewer than four medals will be given ever again.Why did the committee give out only two in 2002?
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Why did the committee give out only two in 2002?
The impression is that other contenders achievements were not deemed to be at par with Voevodsky and Lafforgue
Who were the other names being mentioned at the time?
Wasn’t Taylor one of them?Ah yes let us only award those working in Algebraic geometry and it's nearby areas.
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Antoine Song, Sung-jin oh and also agol, lott, and zworski are very active (though not young)
Song is not even tenure-track
Anyway, those names carry lots of weight, but is that enough to put them at number 3?
Berkeley has a rather large proportion of deadwood and sorely needs new people in Algebra/Number TheoryI agree with this, but berkeley is one of the biggest depts in the world. Even if they have a lot of deadwood, they have some stars.
Yes, I agree they have "some".
I actually think that Berkeley's department has declined a lot in recent years. It is weaker now than it has been in decades. It used to be that a much larger proportion of its faculty were active, big name people.By any chance will sung-jin oh win for 2026?
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Not every MO star succeed in math research you know. Look at Reid Barton, Alex Song...
But some do.
Tao, Perelman, Mirzakhani, Scholze,…
Someone with multiple IMO gold medals is orders of magnitude more likely to get a Fields Medal than a random math undergrad.
Maybe 10% probability for Robitaille?You do know how foolish you're sounding right now?
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Not every MO star succeed in math research you know. Look at Reid Barton, Alex Song...
But some do.
Tao, Perelman, Mirzakhani, Scholze,…
Someone with multiple IMO gold medals is orders of magnitude more likely to get a Fields Medal than a random math undergrad.
Maybe 10% probability for Robitaille?You do know how foolish you're sounding right now?
No. Please explain.
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Will Sawin will get one for sure.
No.
Go to JAMS, Annals, Inventiones to appear page. You will see Will Sawin's name.
And there are other preprints that will most likely end up in top journals. He has a good chance in 2026 or maybe more likely in 2030.
What major theorem has he proved?