Who will you vote for and who will you bet on?
Nobel prize 2022
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The last few years we had labor, metrics, theory, development, macro and behavioral. So it is reasonable to expect someone from IO, public, finance, history or political economy.
For public, ES seems the top choice, but he is too young.
For political economy, with the death of AA there is a vacuum at the very top, so I guess that won't be it as well. But they may give it to DA and Rodrik.
For IO, any of the BLP, Whinston, Shapiro or Aghion.
For history, we all know that the nobel committee would love to give it to Piketty. It could be paired with Eichengreen, C Romer, Goldin and even DA.
For finance, we could see Campbell, Shleifer, Stein or even Duffie.