2% Bid. edge. Same edge as Hil. in ‘16. It’ll be a hot one!
Rasmussen poll: neck and neck.
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We're being a little too harsh to OP -there is something to this. Ie - what justification do these other polls have for using sampling proportions as low as 22-24% for Rs in their sample? When even eg in an historically bad year , 2018 - exit polls still had Republicans at ~33% when they were getting wiped out in midterms?
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Yep! Rasmussen undersamples, but it’s not way out of whack like the other polls. Which is why it got ‘16 on the nose!
We're being a little too harsh to OP -there is something to this. Ie - what justification do these other polls have for using sampling proportions as low as 22-24% for Rs in their sample? When even eg in an historically bad year , 2018 - exit polls still had Republicans at ~33% when they were getting wiped out in midterms?