Manifold Markets is currently putting the chance at 12%. That seems high to me, but maybe two percent? Which I still regard as leading to a high expected cost, to be clear. There is now mammal-to-mammal transmission. Zeynep Tufekci considers possible preparatory steps (NYT), including more surveillance.
The post Will there by an H5N1 pandemic for humans? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
CommentsGoofball, musicians need to obey more. by EquestrianIt really depends on who gets to declare it, doesn't it. ... by MikePRelated StoriesMedical markets in everything?The medical culture that is BritainIs the NHS the UK’s biggest problem?https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/726411452/0/marginalrevolution~Will-there-by-an-HN-pandemic-for-humans.html